Global Airways Plying Their Solutions towards Spectacular Metropolis!1121810

2012-08-14T07:42:11Z

MadalynspitjzydyeTarris: Created page with 'Abu Dhabi is amongst the distinguished metropolitan areas of UAE and its cash as well. This island juts out within the central western coastline in the Persian Gulf. Abu Dhabi ha…'

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The "flash crash" phenomenon seems to be planning round.

Last week marked the anniversary with the 1st flash crash -- Could 6, 2010. Which was the day some superior frequency investing (HFT) algorithms went haywire, delivering a slew of large-cap shares like Procter & Gamble (PG:NYSE) down 30% in the space of minutes.

This year, crude oil experienced its own flash crash on Thursday, May perhaps 5, as the futures dropped $10 for every barrel in a single day. The move crushed a number of huge commodity dealing funds, with losses ranging from $300 million to $500 million.

And prior to crude oil's big drop, there was the violent reversal in silver, kicked off by margin hikes and a rush for your exits. These convulsions appear to have unfold all across the commodity complex.

On Wednesday of this week, it was time for yet a further flash crash du jour -- this time in gasoline futures. Via The Wall Street Journal:

At 12:06 p.m. Eastern time Wednesday, gasoline prices fell to your 25-cent daily limit set by commodities-exchange operator CME Group Inc. That triggered a five-minute investing halt for gasoline, crude oil and heating oil.

Trading resumed with a 50-cent limit for gasoline. Prices stabilized, but gasoline ended down 25.69 cents. On a percentage basis, the decline was the steepest in extra than two years.

The catalyst? A U.S. Department of Energy report showing an unexpected buildup of gasoline stockpiles. With supply tightness less than anticipated, gas prices (at least in the futures) went into freefall.

Refiners were hit by the move, as the "crack spread" -- a measure of price difference between crude oil costs and refined product -- narrowed sharply. (For refiners, the wider the unfold the better, as it increases profit margins on what they sell.)

Sitting opposite of refiners were airline stocks, the prices of which jumped sharply as the crack unfold came in. For airways, less supply tightness means lower fueling costs. (That can produce a big difference: Jeff Smisek, the CEO of United, says his airline spends $25,000 for each minute on jet fuel.)

And what does this mean for markets? On a broader level, it really is a mixed bag.

Within the positive side: If the price of gasoline stays low, that relief ought to slowly make its way into consumer's wallets (via lower prices at the pump). Corporate profit margins would also catch a break, as transport costs are a meaningful expense for so quite a few companies.

About the negative side: For some time now, crude oil and the stock market have walked hand in hand. Equity prices and crude oil prices are already correlated to your upside, with higher oil indicating a "risk on" willingness to speculate.

Furthermore, the energy and commodities bull market has been a staple for most money managers, including pension funds. A additionally retreat there could lead to pain, and possible blow-ups.

In an even darker assessment, various Center East oil producers have leveraged themselves to higher-priced crude.

Saudi Arabia, to cite the most important example, has dug deep into its pockets in a hope to quell unrest. The Saudis have pledged countless billions to keep the population calm, and those promises are stretching budgets. It is estimated that the Saudis may possibly need an average oil price of $100 for every barrel just to keep from running into your red.

Rex Tillerson, the CEO of Exxon, thinks that is much as well higher. Said Tillerson into the Senate Finance Committee this week:

When we look at it, it is going to get somewhere in the $60 to $70 range if you said: "If I had access on the next marketable barrel, what would it cost?"

Exxon, of course, has political motivation of its own to talk down the oil price. With consumers and politicians blaming the oil majors for price gouging, it is in Tillerson's interest to shift the blame to speculative interests (while continuing to rake in huge profits).

Still, we have reached a funny put when it comes to crude oil and other commodities. Additionally price declines threaten the financial health of lots of market players, and potentially even good sized producers like Saudi Arabia. Yet more hikes in price put us near a "tipping point," exactly where the cost of raw materials slows down the global market.

With the U.S. dollar in a surprise uptrend, this leaves commodity speculators -- a large number of of them leveraged long -- caught in the center. It is no longer safe to assume that commodity prices can only go in a person direction, up, or that buyers will always overwhelm sellers. For that reason we can probably expect extra commodity-related "flash crash" instances in future.

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Global Airways Plying Their Solutions towards Spectacular Metropolis!1121810